Wednesday 25th September, 2013

A couple of decent races from Goodwood tomorrow and we have a selection in each.

Not our usual big prices, but both fields are quite small and many of the runners have question marks over distance and/or going.

We are likely to have a selection on Thursday from Newmarket so please keep an eye on your inbox tomorrow evening.

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3.05 Goodwood Santa Maria Foodservice Stakes (Handicap) (CLASS 2)

Selections:

Gospel Choir 2 points win at Betfair odds or 5/2 BetVictor

Race Analysis:

Blue Surf has been badly off form this season although his last run behind Tiger Cliff at York was a bit more like last season.  He has course form and Amanda Perrett does well here, but I think he needs to drop another couple of pounds prior to winning again.

Charles Camoin is a horse I like but the ground is likely to ride too slow here and he has flopped both times he has tried this distance.

Pearl Castle won here at the Glorious Goodwood Fesitval last year but despite his huge weight advantage I am not convinced on breeding he will stay.  He is likely to be backed which could mean we get an over generous price for our selection.

Gospel Choir is a class act and has only had one run this season so will be fresher than most here.  He is proven on the going and over the distance and can stalk Mister Impatience and Pearl castle before sweeping past in the final furlong.

3.40 Goodwood Greene King Foundation Stakes (Listed Race) (CLASS 1)

Selections:

Sugar Boy 2 points win at Betfair odds or 9/2 various

Race Analysis:

Quick Wit has been pretty disappointing this season and is probably best ignored until returning to Meydan in the Spring.

Brown Panther won a Group 2 here and looked very good; however that was over half a mile further.  This looks very much a prep race to sharpen Brown Panther up before the Long Distance Cup on Champions Day at Ascot.

Grandeur is the class horse in the race and would have been a very big bet if the word firm had appeared in the going description having won 5 of his 6 wins on going either good to firm or firm.  He has only won one other race out of 15 and that was on good ground.  He may still win but I think it is unlikely on the forecast going.

Sugar Boy would only be a pound below Brown Panther in a handicap, but receives eight pounds here.  He has a course win to his name and has won a Group 3 over today’s distance.  He is certainly a value price compared to the top two contenders.  The weight difference and the fact he is still improving should make the difference at the end of the race.

Good luck

Andrew