Noble Alan ran well enough to finish third which produced a small profit, so onto tomorrow and we are in action in three races at Haydock and Newmarket. I have avoided the Shergar Cup as it always disappoints with some of the overseas riders losing on rides they should win on.

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Betfred "Better Prices On Goals Galore" Handicap (CLASS 2), 2.20 Haydock

Selections:

Danchai 2 points win at Betfair odds or 13/2 Bet Victor and Totesport and Educate 2 points at Betfair odds or 12/1 Paddy Power

Race Analysis:

I was going to just back Danchai here but have decided to back Educate as cover.

Navajo Chief has been a great horse for Cleeve members winning at 25/1 and 12/1 in the last couple of years, but this is too far hor him.  I think this is a way of getting his handicap mark down for another crack at one of the handicaps at the York.

Labarinto was third for us at Goodwood but never looked like winning and is likely to find one or two too quick again here.  A frustrating animal as I am sure that there is a big win in him.

Vasily has been paying for his consistency which has seen him rise in the weights significantly.  He is likely to have place chances at best and his recent conqueror Sennockian Star is likely to battle for that third or fourth place.

Indeed Sennockian Star has also been very consistent with his eleven runs this season producing 5 wins, 5 seconds and a fourth!  This has led to him going up 26 pounds since the start of the season, which is likely to put paid to his chances here.

Educate has a fantastic winning strike rate and also has the added advantage of having Johnny Murtagh as pilot.  He has won at this level and has an eight pounds pull for just over 5 lengths with Danchai.  This was one of the reasons I have put him as cover.

Danchai has been running well in big handicaps this season and can confirm his class following his win at York by winning again here.  Joseph O’Brien is a strong booking and he can pull clear in the final furlong.

 

Betfred Rose of Lancaster Stakes (Group 3), 2.55 Haydock

Selections:

Noble Mission 1 point each way at Betfair odds or 15/2 Stan James and Totesport

Race Analysis:

This race really revolves around whether Telescope is the next Frankel which the betting appears to suggest along with the media hype surrounding his recent win by 24 lengths.  He is very promising and that is why I have gone each way on Noble Mission.

The main threat to the two could well come from David Livingston if his jockey can get him to settle early in the race. He has ability but has run into some pretty good horses this season and was drawn on the wrong side at Ascot when finishing 5th.

City Style is the top rated horse in the race but all his winning form has been over shorter.  This looks to be a sharpener for something else in the next month.

Noble Mission is a bit quirky but has won at this class and drops in class here following his fourth in the Hardwicke Stakes at Royal Ascot which is pretty good form.  The going will suit and he can give the hotpot favourite the most to think about.  He should place at least to give a return for us.

Telescope could turn out to be brilliant but it is important to remember that he steps up from a three runner Class 3 race to Group 3.  Odds on against some decent horses – not for me.

Quick Wit is unlikely to stay and may be used to ensure that City Style gets a decent pace for the race.

 

 

Breed German-Buy German-Win German Handicap (CLASS 2), 4.10 Newmarket

Selections:

Highland Colori 2 points at Betfair odds or 13/2 various

Race Analysis:

Head of Steam goes well for Pat Dobbs but he is likely to be outclassed here and although he may place I can’t see him winning.

Common Touch has won here, but that was in a Class 4 event and this is much tougher.

Albaqaa has done all his winning over further and at a lower class.  At the age of eight and having had 59 runs he is unlikely to change that now.

Capaill Laith has got a chance here and I was tempted to include him along with Highland Colori but he has looked out of sorts on his last few runs.  He may need a break before winning again.

Gabriel’s Lad is talented but 50% of his runs have ended in second and all of his runs have been over 6 furlongs, although he should stay 7 furlongs on breeding.  A danger should he get an easy lead as front runners win often at Newmarket.

Highland Colori is a Newmarket and 7 furlong expert and despite him being high in the weights can win this.  He has been running in better races and this is more his level and he can win this at generous odds.

Keep an eye on your email as we are likely to have an ante post bet going out for both the St Leger and the Prix de L’Arc de Triomphe during the week.

Good luck and have a great weekend.

Andrew