Back in action on Friday with selections in two races from Ayr and Newbury. I have gone each way on two at Ayr due to the ground and not being convinced what side the pace will come from.
Apologies for the brevity of the write up but I am running very late for a business dinner this evening!
4.00 Ayr William Hill Ayr Bronze Cup (Handicap) (CLASS 2)
This is an unusual running of the Bronze Cup with the majority of the horses at the top of the market not handling soft ground. Unless one of those suddenly likes a swamp then I think one of ours will win as both like the ground and stay further than 6 furlongs.
Mary’s Daughter would have been a selection if it had not been for the ground but she is likley to struggle on this surface. The same applies to both Tidal’s Baby and Hadaj so both of them are discounted here.
Rusty Rocket is still improving despite having had a lot of racing, but key to him is that he has won over both 5 furlongs and 7 furlongs on soft ground. He can show speed and has stamina which I think will be ideal requirements here.
Cheveton seems to have been around for a lifetime and has won the Silver Cup two years ago and was runner up in this last year to Jack Dexter which is now favourite for this year’s Gold Cup. He loves soft or heavy going and can certainly place here defying his age of nine. He did win at eight on a mark one pound above todays.
Shop around as some bookmakers are offering five places.
4.50 Newbury Dubai Duty Free Cup (Listed Race) (CLASS 1)
Free Wheeling deserves his high rating but this is his UK debut and most Godolphin horses usually need a run or two in the UK before showing their true form. I was tempted to take a chance as he is excellent value but we will keep a watching brief.
Magic City has won his last three races but all his wins have been on better ground and like Wentworth the other day could struggle to reproduce his Goodwood efforts.
Tawhid on the other hand is the highest rated RPR horse and has been running against better horses and placing in Group races. Most importantly he has won on both heavy and soft and should handle the ground especially as one of those wins was at Newbury.
Back tomorrow to cover Saturday’s racing from Ayr and Newbury.