Cleeve NH member selections – Sunday 25th October

wishfull thinkingHi everyone,

Firstly lets get Saturday's post mortem out of the way. Eastlake was very disappointing and was being bumped along by Barry Geraghty early on in the race and was pulled up before the 7th fence so there was obviously something physically amiss with the horse; we will have wait and see what the trainer says. Qualango ran OK for a long way but weakened very quickly before two out and was never going to feature in the finish.

Big Casino ran a cracking race and jumped really well all the way round apart from a slight peck at the second last. Coming over the last 1 1/2 lengths in front we were counting our money and were convinced he would at least be placed but he just didn't stay up the hill and only managed to finish a lowly 9th!!

Onto tomorrows racing... I had looked at the 3.00 at Aintree and was interested in Lil Rockerfeller but he ran at Cheltenham on Saturday instead. I then could not split the two younger horses Work in Progress and Hunter’s Hoof, so best keep our money in our pockets!

We do have one selection though so read on.

There will be nothing now until Friday as the racing is very poor during the week. We may have our first ante post selection later in the week so keep an eye on your emails.

Good luck,

The Cleeve team

15.30 Aintree - Monet´s Garden Old Roan Chase (Limited Handicap) (Grade 2) (CLASS 1) (4yo+)

Selections:

Wishfull Thinking 1.5 points ew @ 7/1 generally

Race Analysis:

This is a strong renewal of this race, which was won very impressively by Wishfull Thinking last season.

After running the numbers I came up with a shortlist of Wishfull Thinking, Johns Spirit, Duke of Navan and Sound Investment.

Sound Investment is definitely a possible winner having had a sharpener two weeks ago at Chepstow; however he will need to improve again with another six pounds rise in the weights . All John’s Spirit victories have come prior to Christmas including two wins first time out. He has not won at Aintree but his three attempts have all been in April and he appears to be a seasonal animal. He was the last one I ruled out and may be the one for the forecast with our selection. (Perhaps a small reverse forecast combination with Wishfull Thinking and Sound Investment?). Duke of Navan has plenty of potential and has been a winner for us in the past but I would like to see him win at a higher class for me to trust our cash with.

Wishfull Thinking is now twelve years young and it appears that he is at his best early in the season, although his three final runs last season were in Grade 1’s. His ability seems perfect for Grade 2 level and presuming he can replicate last season’s run off a similar mark he will finish in the first three if not winning. At his price he is well worth having a safety net of each way. He handles a big weight well so that is not a concern.