Cleeve members selections – Wednesday 27th September

Hi everyone,
not a good day at the office on Saturday.
Our first selection Second Step came to win his race when there was a coming together with Secret Number and he lost some momentum and by the time he got going again it was too late and came in second by neck. Without the trouble in running I am pretty confident he would have won.
That set the tone for the rest of the day.
Our second selection Saxton chased the leaders to the 2 furlong pole but weakened to trail in 6th.
Richard Kingscote tried to do it the hard way from the front on Teodoro and may have gone too quick in the middle of the race and by the 2 furlong pole it was all over as he faded to finish virtually last.
Finally we had Caspian Prince who was up with the pace until fading badly in the last furlong. Fair play to Take Cover who at the age of 10 is still winning valuable races having stormed out of the gates to lead from start to finish.

Days like that hurt especially after all the hard work we put in, but we are still way in front for the month and for the season and we have plenty of racing before the end of the month to get back to winning ways.

We have just the one selection from Goodwood for tomorrow so lets get down to business...

Good luck

The team at Cleeve

3.45 Goodwood 1m2f (1m1f197y) EBF Stallions Foundation Stakes (Listed Race) (Class 1) (3yo+)

Selections:

Promising Run 2 points to win at 5/1 Paddypower

Race Analysis:

Cleeve Top 3 Rated:
1) Promising Run – 73
2) Frankuus – 68
3) Billesdon Bess – 67
3) Spark Plug – 67

Race analysis:
Spark Plug would have been under serious consideration if the ground had been quick as he excels on good to firm. With the ground currently soft and more rain forecast I think he will struggle.

Billesdon Bess has been on a great run with 3 wins and 2 seconds in her last five runs and she has a course and distance win to her name. This is a more challenging race and I think there are a couple of these with better claims. She is one to watch for next season as she still has the potential to improve further.

Frankuus could well win this but his form has been a bit in and out in his career to date. He was very disappointing last time and has been given four weeks break which may have freshened him up. I do not think we can put our faith in him but it would be no surprise to see him bounce back to form and unlike a few of these will handle the ground.

Promising Run has already won at Group 2 and 3 and was only beaten narrowly by Decorated Knight in the Group 1 Jebel Hatta and Decorated Knight has won two more Group 1’s since then. Promising Run has been off since March but that is not of concern as she has previously won off breaks of three months plus on two occasions. Both stable and jockey are in form and hopefully Promising Run will cope with the underfoot conditions being out of a Shirley Heights mare.