Hi everyone,

Our only selection Little Jo in the Silver Cambridgeshire ran a cracker to finish 3rd. He was in the group that came up the middle of the track and made smooth progress and probably hit the front a bit too early but I don't think Ben Robinson had much of an option. He only got beat in the last 50 yards by a neck and a neck. So we hit the bar again but no damage done.

We move on and have 5 selections in 4 races so let's hope we can finish off the what has been a tough month on a winning note.

Good luck,
The team at Cleeve

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1.50 Newmarket 1m (Row) Juddmonte Royal Lodge Stakes (Group 2) (Colts & Geldings) (Class 1) (2yo)

Selections:

NO SELECTION

Race Analysis:

Cleeve Top 3 Rated:
1) Arthur Kitt – 94
2) Kuwait Currency – 77
3) Mohawk – 75
3) Victory Command – 75

Race analysis:
I had intended to go for Arthur Kitt, who is well clear at the top of our ratings, but this looks like a very good race. I think there will be multiple winners from this race for next season, but let’s just watch this time around. No bet.

2.05 Haydock 1m (1m37y) Smarkets Betting Exchange Handicap (Class 2) (3yo+ 0-105)

Selections:

NO SELECTION

Race Analysis:

Cleeve Top 3 Rated:
1) Borderforce – 91
2) Gurkha Friend – 89
3) Escobar – 87

Race analysis:
Borderforce disappointed last time for us when the batteries seemed to run out, and after that performance, I couldn’t justify putting him up as a selection again. Escobar has looked out of form recently and would need to run up to his best to win this.

Gurkha Friend seems to do most of his winning at Ripon and was second to Borderforce last time they met and receives a 1lb pull for a head defeat. Mitchum Swagger will be warm order as he looks well handicapped and ran really well to finish 3rd in the Lincoln for new connections.

2.25 Newmarket 6f (Row) Juddmonte Cheveley Park Stakes (Group 1) (Fillies) (Class 1) (2yo)

Selections:

NO SELECTION

Race Analysis:

Cleeve Top 3 Rated:
1) Fairyland – 104
2) Signora Cabello – 100
3) Pretty Pollyanna – 96

Race analysis:
Pretty Pollyanna beat Signora Cabello in the Prix Morny and that is top form so she is the one to beat. Of the others, the O’Brien team have won this the last two years and have 3 entered with So Perfect looking the pick of them. This looks like a very strong renewal and it will be no surprise to see the 1000 Guineas winner come from this race… so get your notebook out!

3.00 Newmarket 6f (Row) Juddmonte Middle Park Stakes (Group 1) (Colts) (Class 1) (2yo)

Selections:

NO SELECTION

Race Analysis:

Cleeve Top 3 Rated:
1) Emaraaty Ana – 74
2) Ten Sovereigns – 68
3) Sergei Prokofiev – 67

Race analysis:
This is too close to call although I l do like Emaraaty Ana. Ten Sovereigns comes with a massive reputation as Aiden O’Brien’s best 2-y-o and he has already been backed for the 2,000 Guineas, but he has not achieved the level of some on what he has shown so on the track so far so has to improve to justify odds-on. I think this another race to watch not to bet in. No Bet.

3.10 Chester 6f (6f17y) Golden Square Shopping Centre Nursery Handicap (Class 2) (2yo)

Selections:

NO SELECTION

Race Analysis:

Cleeve Top 3 Rated:
1) Wild Edric – 89
2) Sparklealot – 88
3) Prince Des Sables – 85

Race analysis:
Far too close to call and as we are having a fairly busy day, we will give this one a miss. No Bet.

3.15 Haydock 1m (1m37y) Smarkets Betting Exchange Handicap (Class 2) (3yo+ 0-105)

Selections:

NO SELECTION

Race Analysis:

Cleeve Top 4 Rated:
1) Final Venture – 154
2) Holmeswood – 151
3) Tropics – 142
4) Captain Lars – 127

Race analysis:
I quite like Holmeswood in this, but I think there are at least 8 challengers that could win if things fall right for them. Tarboosh would also have a big chance if can be as effective on this faster ground. Again on a busy day we can sit this out. No Bet.

3.35 Ripon 6f Ripon Cathedral City Of The Dales Handicap (Class 2) (3yo+ 0-105)

Selections:

Staxton 1 point each way at 13/2 BOG Betfair and Paddypower

Race Analysis:

Cleeve Top 3 Rated:
1) Staxton – 103
2) Victory Angel – 97
3) Muscika – 94

Race analysis:
This is a decent Class 2 and Muscika is a decent animal but needs a career best to win off this mark. All his wins have been in a lower class and this looks like a good race and he might struggle.

Victory Angel is paying for his consistency and remains on a very high mark. He remains six pounds above his last winning mark and I do think he needs to drop at least four pounds before winning again.

Staxton is saddled with top weight as a three-year-old, which makes this tough, but also shows how good he is. His last run was disappointing on the bottomless ground in the Ayr Gold Cup but returning to better ground in lesser company should see him go close. He ran well in two Group 2 races as a two-year-old and I think he has further improvement to come.

3.40 Newmarket 1m1f (Row) bet365 Cambridgeshire Handicap (Heritage Handicap) (Class 2) (3yo+)

Selections:

Kenya 1 point each way at 12/1 BOG Bet365 (8 places) & Circus Couture 1 point each way at 33/1 BOG Bet365 (8 places)

Race Analysis:

Cleeve Top 4 Rated:
1) Kenya – 288
2) Danceteria – 265
3) Seniority – 251
4) Circus Couture – 248

Race analysis:
There are no real trends for this race other than having run in the last 60 days and that is unusual for such a well-established big field handicap.

Horses outside the top four which are threats include Alfarris, Mordin and Waarif.

Seniority won for us earlier in the season when winning the Golden Mile at Goodwood in a big field. He didn’t quite see out the trip last time when upped to Group 3, but I think that is more about the pace and class rather than a stamina issue. I think Seniority can challenge without winning.

Danceteria has won three races on Newmarket’s July course and won four on the bounce prior to losing last time. I do think there is still more improvement to come but he may lack experience in a big field to win this. I do think he will be thereabouts and if anyone is doing a combination forecast he is worth throwing in with our two main selections.

Kenya attempts the Irish and English Cambridgeshire double having won in Ireland a couple of weeks back. I think Kenya could actually be a very good horse and maybe better than just a handicapper. If the excellent Seamie Heffernan can find the gaps I think Kenya could be hard to beat.

Circus Couture was too tempting to ignore, as he has been running well enough in Group races and finished a gallant third in the Royal Hunt Cup off a three pounds lower mark. I do think he will at the very least challenge for a place and at his price is worthwhile backing here along with Kenya.

N.B. Bet365 and Skybet are going 8 places

4.25 Haydock 1m6f Best Racing Odds On Smarkets Handicap (Class 2) (3yo+ 0-100)

Selections:

NO SELECTION

Race Analysis:

Cleeve Top 3 Rated:
1) Garbanzo – 77
2) Baydar – 74
3) Saigon City – 72

Race analysis:
This shapes like a very decent race, but is too close to call so we will just enjoy watching. No Bet.

5.25 Newmarket 7f (Row) British Stallion Studs EBF "Jersey Lily" Fillies' Nursery Handicap (Class 2) (2yo)

Selections:

Stay Classy 1 point each way at 8/1 BOG William Hills, Betfair and Paddypower

Race Analysis:

Cleeve Top 3 Rated:
1) Stay Classy – 116
2) I’ll Have Another – 107
3) Chaleur – 95
3) Octave – 95

Race analysis:
I’ll Have Another won a Listed race in Cologne last time and that was following a Group 3 2nd at Baden Baden. As a result, she is giving a lot of weight including more than a stone to our selection, which is a huge ask.

Chaleur has only had the three runs over six furlongs and is probably better than she has shown to date. I am a bit concerned about her recent absence and she may run into a place but could fade in the latter stages especially upped in trip.

Octave ran five times before the end of July but disappointed in her last race and has been missing in action since. There may be more to come but she has not won above Class 4, so this is a big ask.

Stay Classy has been a revelation since donning a hood and she won very nicely last time in a Class 2 over a half-furlong shorter. She quickened smoothly to win and not many two-year-olds show that level of acceleration. Stay Classy has gone up seven pounds, but I do think there is more improvement to come.

5.55 Newmarket 7f (Row) Newmarket Journal Handicap (Class 2) (3yo+ 0-105)

Selections:

Gilgamesh 1 point each way at 10/1 with Skybet (4 places)

Race Analysis:

Cleeve Top 3 Rated:
1) Gilgamesh – 119
2) Nebo – 109
3) Ripp Orf – 106
3) Spanish City – 106

Race analysis:
Nebo was impressive as a two-year-old but has basically been disappointing this season including getting well beaten last time. He is still high in the ratings due to having won at Group level last season, and although he remains full of potential is hard to fancy at present.

Spanish City has been run in lots of decent handicaps this season and this is a lot easier. He has gone up a pound and although he is likely to run well, once more it is hard to see him turning the tables on Ripp Orf following that ones win at Ascot last time.

Ripp Orf has improved tremendously this season going up 24 pounds since the start of the year. He had a career-best win last time at Ascot and has gone up four pounds as a result. I do think he is the biggest threat to our selection, but he must be nearing his peak for the season.

Gilgamesh was well beaten in that Ascot race last time by both Ripp Orf and Spanish City; however, he is now only one pound above his last winning weight and sports cheekpieces for the first time. I am hoping the headgear freshens Gilgamesh up as on his best form he can win this.