Cleeve members selections – Saturday 14th March

Hi everyone,

we are all at Cheltenham today so we will do a complete review of the meeting on Monday. At the time of writing, the days racing is still be run so we don't have any results yet.

Just a word about the situation with what is likely to happen over the coming weeks.

Monday's race meeting at Kelso will be held behind closed doors but otherwise racing in Britain is set to continue as normal despite sporting events across the globe shutting down due to the coronavirus pandemic. Irish racing is continuing behind closed doors and the Kelso decision follows advice from the Scottish government but a statement by the BHA said on Friday:

British racing continues to be in close contact with the UK government and has been following their advice to continue with business as usual, subject to public health guidance"

Obviously this will change over the coming days and weeks and we will be keeping a close eye on things and will update members accordingly.

We are having a slight breather after a gruelling Cheltenham, but we have done the analysis of the Midlands National and we have come up with two against the field so let's get down to business....

Good luck
The team at Cleeve

3.35 Uttoxeter 4m2f (4m2f8y) Marston's 61 Deep Midlands Grand National (An Open Handicap Chase) (Listed Race) (Class 1) (5yo+)

Selections:

Just Your Type 0.5 points each way at 14/1 generally (4 places) - Se Mo Laoch 0.5 points each way at 20/1 generally (4 places)

Race Analysis:

Cleeve Top 4 Rated:
1) Joe Farrell – 232
2) De Rasher Counter – 224
3) Crosspark – 223
4) Truckers Lodge – 216

Race analysis:
As always after the Cheltenham Festival we have a quiet Saturday with selections in the Midlands National only.

Like a number of these big handicaps form goes out of the window and several trends come into play. I am not saying that a form horse cannot win this but the winner of this is usually well down the weights and is not exposed. Perhaps one of the most curious statistics is that the winner often has not run at Uttoxeter previously.

Once I had gone through the trends for the past 15 years I ended up with a shortlist of the following:
• Just Your Type
• Se Mo Laoch
• Holdbacktheriver
• Financial Outcome

I ruled the last two out as they are both so far out of the handicap proper it is hard to see them being involved at the finish.

Of the form horses’ top weight De Rasher Counter must be respected and Truckers Lodge and Christmas In April are the biggest threats.

Just Your Type was pulled up last time and has subsequently had a wind operation, which will hopefully see him back to the form that saw him go 122 in his first three runs of the season. Last season saw him fall at the last in the National Hunt chase at Cheltenham, so the mammoth trip should not be beyond him.

Se Mo Laoch has run in fifteen chases winning three and placing in seven, albeit at a lower level than this. He usually jumps soundly and has run well on heavy, but is flexible regards going plus I think he gets in here on a light weight. He travels across from Ireland and with Irish bred horses having a good record in this race; hopefully, both our selections can go well.