Hi there,

We didn't get a winner today but with 3 places from our 5 selections not much damage was done either with a loss on the day of slightly over 0.5 points.

It has been a frustrating meeting so far for members we know, but it's a game of patience and we just have to keep on doing what we do (which we know works), and there will definitely be plenty of easier opportunities to come before the end of the season.

We play in 3 of the races on tomorrow's card and let's hope we can get into the winner's enclosure, so down to business...

Good luck
The Cleeve team

12.40 Ascot 6f Silver Wokingham Handicap (A Consolation Race For The 2020 Wokingham Stakes) (Class 2) (3yo+)

Selections:

Nahaarr 1 point each way at 14/1 with Corals (currently 16/1), Ladbrokes and Bet365 (5 places)

Race Analysis:

Cleeve Top 4 Rated:
1) Nahaarr – 195
2) Swindler – 194
3) Embour – 191
4) Flavius Titus – 178

Race analysis:
Longer-term members will know my view on the Wokingham in that it tends to be won by a horse that gets 7 furlongs due to the strong pace and stiff uphill straight mile. That strategy has supplied us with big priced winners like Dandy Boy and I am applying the same strategy to this consolation race.

Flavius Titus would have been interesting at an excessively big price if the ground dried out, but he may struggle with cut. He is drawn beside Nahaarr and will hopefully give our chap something to aim at. Flavius Titus has won over both six and seven furlongs so will see out the trip.

Embour seems to have been around for a while but is still only five years old and is more exposed than a lot of these. His preference is for good or better going and I am not sure he will get the 6 furlongs at Ascot with cut in the ground. In all big fields there are multiple challengers, and these include Golden Apollo, Blue Mist and Aplomb.

Swindler is drawn low otherwise he would have been a selection along with Nahaarr, as on breeding he should stay. He is also at his best on quicker ground and I think he could struggle with cut. Swindler is already a course and distance winner and a sprinter that I think has further improvement to come.

Nahaarr has already won over six and seven furlongs and should be fine on the going, as there is good to soft and softer form on the dam’s side of the family. I think Nahaarr had the potential to be a lot better than he has shown so far in his career. He is a good-looking colt and can tuck in behind the leaders and make his move in the final furlong. I expect him to go past tiring horses and he can produce a win for the Haggas/Doyle combination.

1.15 Ascot 5f Queen Mary Stakes (Group 2) (Class 1) (2yo)

Selections:

No bet

Race Analysis:

Cleeve Top 4 Rated:
1) Dickiedooda – 195
2) More Beautiful – 194
3) Sacred – 191
4) Sands Of Time – 178
4) Dandalla – 178
4) Pelekai – 178

Race analysis:
A cavalry charge of two-year-olds over the minimum distance of five furlongs is not my idea of a betting race – imagine twenty toddlers being asked to run 100 metres and you can envisage the chaos. A good race to watch for future winners, but no bet.

1.50 Ascot 6f Coventry Stakes (Group 2) (Class 1) (2yo)

Selections:

No bet

Race Analysis:

Cleeve Top 3 Rated:
1) Qaader – 159
2) Lauded – 158
3) Creative Force – 153

Race analysis:
Same comments as the previous race except think an extra 200 metres for the toddlers. No Bet.

2.25 Ascot 1m (7f213y) (Rnd) Coronation Stakes (Group 1) (British Champions Series) (Class 1) (3yo)

Selections:

No bet

Race Analysis:

Cleeve Top 3 Rated:
1) Quadrilateral – 67
2) Sharing – 65
3) Alpine Star – 61

Race analysis:
I would have been interested in Quadrilateral if she had not disappointed so much in the Guineas, but there are several challengers here. If he had been 3/1, I might well have been tempted, but around 2/1 with multiple threats means no value. Both Alpine Star and Sharing have chances here, but it’s possible that anyone of the seven could win on their day. No Bet.

3.00 Ascot 1m (7f213y) (Rnd) St James's Palace Stakes (Group 1) (British Champions Series) (Class 1) (3yo)

Selections:

No bet

Race Analysis:

Cleeve Top 3 Rated: 
1) Pinatubo – 68
2) Threat – 59
3) Arizona – 59

Race analysis:
This is a race to savour and it will be interesting to see if Pinatubo can resume his two-year-old form or if indeed he was a one-season wonder. Some decent performers are up against him here with Threat, Arizona, Wichita, and Palace Pier all capable of winning. No Bet.

3.35 Ascot 6f Diamond Jubilee Stakes (Group 1) (British Champions Series) (Class 1) (4yo+)

Selections:

Hello Youmzain 2 points to win at 9/2 general

Race Analysis:

Cleeve Top 3 Rated:
1) Hello Youmzain – 97
2) One Master – 88
3) Sceptical – 85

Race analysis:
Sceptical sets a decent standard but the step up from Listed level to Group 1 is a big ask. Sceptical also strikes me, as a horse that is best on quicker ground and it will be interesting to see how he gets on with cut in the ground.

One Master was also tempting in having returned to sprinting last season and winning Group 1 Prix de la Foret at Longchamp and finishing second here in the British Champions Sprint in October. He has won at Group 1 level over further on decent ground and I expect him to go close here.

Hello Youmzain got the nod ahead of One Master, as he is probably capable of further improvement having only had eight runs. He again can win at Group 1 level and on all kinds of going and I think he can take this for Kevin Ryan. He has won 50% of his races and can continue his winning ways here.

4.10 Ascot 6f Wokingham Stakes (Heritage Handicap) (Class 2) (3yo+ 0-110)

Selections:

Angel Alexander 1 point each way at 20/1 with Skybet, Betfair Sportsbook and Paddypower (6 places) & Air Raid 1 point each way at 40/1 with Betfair Sportsbook and Paddypower (6 places)

Race Analysis:

Cleeve Top 4 Rated:
1) Angel Alexander – 216
2) Bielsa – 195
3) Air Raid – 174
4) Mr Lupton – 166

Race analysis:
Bielsa is a short-priced favourite here and although he is talented his only run in a big field in the Portland ended up with a disappointing performance. I would not want to take 11/2 about anything in such a competitive handicap, so will pass on Bielsa, despite Art Power winning on Friday.

Mr Lupton must be one of the most consistent horses around and will undoubtedly give 100% again. He is unlikely to win the race but could well run into a place having multiple wins at Group 2 level and below.

Highland Dress has only had six runs and I like horses to have a bit more experience in this type of tough handicap. He is improving and is bred for further than six furlongs, but he is probably going to be at his best on quicker ground. If Tony Carroll had the stable in any sort of form Recon Mission could have been a contender and has already won a big field Class 2 Handicap at York. He may need to drop a couple of pounds before winning again. The ground should be fine, as he has won on good to soft, but his draw could be a challenge.

Air Raid is one of those horses that either wins or comes nowhere, but he has dropped down the handicap significantly and could be primed for a big run. He gets further and has won a Class 2 so from his high draw he should be competitive. Air Raid handles all types of going and if he gets a clear run should go very close.

Angel Alexander is high enough in the handicap but is an improving sprinter that has been highly tried in Meydan in the winter. He has placed in a Group 2 and won the Ayr Gold Cup last season. I do think he is capable of winning at Group level so this should be within his scope. The going is not an issue and he is bred to get further than six furlongs so the uphill finish should suit. A high draw again should help and if he gets the breaks you need in a race like this, he should be in the shakeup here.

4.40 Ascot 2m5½f (2m5f143y) Queen Alexandra Stakes (Class 2) (4yo+)

Selections:

No bet

Race Analysis:

Cleeve Top 3 Rated:
1) The Grand Visir – 102
1) Mekong – 102
3) Who Dares Wins – 96

Race analysis:
I do like the look of Mekong here but there’s no value to be had so it’s a race that’s best watched. It should be close between the top three; however, I could not find a betting opportunity. No Bet.