Cleeve members selections – Royal Ascot Day 2

Hi everyone,

A fine opening day yesterday, Baaeed may really just be that special, winning without exerting a muscle in the opener, Bradsell ensured we had a winner on the board for the day and a lack of luck in running for Caddilac ensured he could only finish second. Also of note was Saint Lawrence who was less than a length out of the places at a massive 100/1.
1 winner and two places ensured a profit and the double paid ew (around 2/1) with the horses finishing third and second respectively.

Onto day 2 and let's hope we can build on yesterday's results.

Todays daily double - 1 point each way
3.20 - Nahanni @9/2
4.20 - Bashkirova @10/30

Good luck
The team at Cleeve

2.30 Ascot - 5f Queen Mary Stakes (Group 2) (Fillies) (Class 1) (2yo)

Selections:

Katey Kontent 1 point each way at BOG 11/1 Bet365 and Paddypower (6 places)

Race Analysis:

The Queen Mary kicks the meeting off with a whole field of unexposed 2-year-olds.

  • Katey Kontent is the bet for Clive Cox with Adam Kirby on board.
  • The trainer has a 23% strike rate with last-time out winners and the booking of Adam is a further positive, percentage play.
  • Our selection is drawn from stall 6, which has little to no bias in a race of this type and I would expect to see Kirby tuck behind leaders such as Primrose Ridge and Yahsat who will set the early fractions.

3.05 Ascot - 1m6f (1m6f34y) Queen's Vase (Group 2) (Class 1) (3yo)

Selections:

Nahanni 1.5 points each way at BOG 9/2 generally (4 places)

Race Analysis:

  • Appleby and Buick team up once again with Nahanni for Godolphin, impressive over 1.2 mile and 1.4 mile when carrying nigh on half a stone more than today, the step-up in trip should suit this 3-year-old from Frankel.
  • The Derby simply was not for him, whether it was fireworks from the stands or merely not his day, expect a much better performance today, should he not be spooked from the outset.

3.40 Ascot - 1m2f (1m1f212y) Prince Of Wales's Stakes (Group 1) (British Champions Series) (Class 1) (4yo+)

Selections:

No selection

Race Analysis:

A non-betting race, from the perspective of a single, but one to watch just how good, Bay Bridge may be, stupendous in the Brigadier Gerrard, many have spoken about him being the banker of the week (relative to price, around evens, as opposed to Baaeed 1/8)

4.20 Ascot - 1m (Str) Duke Of Cambridge Stakes (Group 2) (Fillies & Mares) (Class 1) (4yo+)

Selections:

Bashkirova 2 points win at BOG 10/30 Bet365 and Paddypower

Race Analysis:

  • Bashkirova is the selection nigh on identical from my ratings perspective with Saffron Beach, when that happens, you should always take the bigger price, carrying less weight when last seen, victorious at Epsom on the Derby weekend. A big run is expected today.
  • Haggas has a nigh on 15% strike rate at the Course and Distance and we know he thinks very highly of this mare, with Tom Marquand on board, they hope to add another winner to their 23% strike rate when paired together.

5.00 Ascot - 1m (Str) Royal Hunt Cup (Heritage Handicap) (Class 2) (3yo+)

Selections:

Rebel Territory 1 poimt each way at BOG 18/1 Net365 (7 places) and Totally Charming 1 point each way at BOG 9/1 Bet365, Paddypower and Betfair (7 places) and Excel Power 0.25 point each way at BOG 80/1 Bet365 (7 places)

Race Analysis:

The Royal Hunt Cup, is simply, a sight to behold, as thirty plus runners hurtle down the straight mile. We will back a few in this, forgive the slightly shorter write-ups.

  • Rebel Territory is going for the hat-trick, more than looking the part when last seen at Sandown and Newmarket before that, Jim Crowley is on board and the horse looks somewhat forgotten by the market, as the speed figures in Sandown on my watch are better than everything else in the field when carrying 6lbs higher than today.
  • Totally Charming is a second selection in the race for Boughey and Dettori, plenty to like, expect Dettori to hold up at the back of the field and be presented within the final half-furlong.
    In the same race at Epsom, where Totally Charming was successful
  • Excel Power was a bit of a hard-luck story in running, 50/1 does not really reflect his ability and he is our final selection.

5.35 Ascot - 5f Windsor Castle Stakes (Listed Race) (Class 1) (2yo)

Selections:

Star of Lady 0.75 poimt each way at BOG 25/1 Bet365 and Corals (5 places) and Rockney Rodney 0.5 point each way at BOG 12/1 generally (5 places)

Race Analysis:

Another, big field, another expert pin-drop, we hope!

  • Lady M is our primary selection in this race, victorious in 3 out of her 4 starts, it pays to set the pace in this race and we can expect Star of Lady M to be at the front.
  • Our second selection is Rocket Rodney who is drawn from stall 21 and will get ready access to the rail, a front running type, who may just get out and not be for catching, his win at Goodwood when last seen was notable and the price is far too attractive to pass by.

18.10 Ascot - 1m 6.10 - (7f213y) (Rnd) Kensington Palace Stakes (Handicap) (Fillies & Mares) (Class 2) (4yo+ 0-105)

Selections:

State Occasion 1.5 point each way at BOG 12/1 Bet365 (6 places) and Ffion 1 point each way at BOG 14/1 Bet365 (6 places)

Race Analysis:

  • In the final race of the day, State Occasion for Beckett and Ryan stands out, down in weight today to 8-12 a weight which will suit the horse, having performed well as such last season when placing in some decent races, we would hope for one better today and take the last.
  • Ffion is our second and final selection of the day, with Derby winner Richard Kingscote on board, who is red-hot at present, when paired with trainer, David Loughane they have around a 20% strike-rate.