Hi everyone,

we made a loss of just over 3 1/2points today with our 4 selections.

Kaeso was disappointing and never really got into the race and once his chances were over Oisin Murphy eased him down to come home in his own time.

Space Traveller ran OK but I was expecting him to be settled in mid-division by Danny Tudhope and come off the pace. He ran on the outside up with the pace without any cover and was still in contention at the 2-furlong marker but just stayed on at the one pace to finish just outside the places.

Liberty Beach ran another cracking race but was no match for the real Battash that turned up. She was just pipped for second at the death and I can see her winning some decent races this season.

Finally, we had Fair Mountain who showed his course absence by not settling for the first half of the race. Danny Tudhope took him round the outside to settle him down but was virtually pulled up with 5 furlongs to go so he was obviously very much in need of the run.

We move on and have 4 more selections to go into battle with so let's get down to business.

Good luck
The team at Cleeve

1.15 Ascot 1m (Str) Silver Royal Hunt Cup Handicap (A Consolation Race For The Royal Hunt Cup) (Class 2) (3yo+)

Selections:

Brian Epstein 1 point each way at 11/1 Skybet, Paddypower and Betfair (6 places)

Race Analysis:

Cleeve Top 4 Rated:
1) Brian Epstein – 202
2) Universal Gleam – 192
3) Sir Busker – 183
4) Maydanny – 182

Race analysis:
Sir Busker is amazingly top weight in this race and his official rating appears to be very high based upon what he has achieved to date. William Knight has his string on decent form and with Oisin Murphy booked it shows intent here, but I think he will find one or two too good.

Universal Gleam looks to be a fair price, but his hold up style from draw one may make life difficult unless he is lucky with the gaps appearing. David Probert will have a tough task on his hands to get Universal Gleam into a challenging position.

Ouzo from the same stable as our selection has Ryan Moore booked and that one is probably one of the main challengers here and is fifth top in our ratings. I do think he has potential but his price of around 6/1 is about four points short of where I think he should be.

Maydanny was the last one I ruled out, as I was extremely impressed with his comeback run at York where he won readily. He now moves up two classes and although he may eventually turn out to be a Group contender this son of Dubawi lacks the experience for this tough handicap. I am not saying he cannot win, but moving up two classes poses too many questions, especially at his price.

Brian Epstein, like Ouzo, is from the Richard Hannon stable and he has won a decent race at Musselburgh and has potential to improve. He has been moving up the ratings and I expect him to continue that improvement here providing he gets the gap needed in the final stages.

1.50 Ascot 1m2f (1m1f212y) Hampton Court Stakes (Group 3) (Class 1) (3yo)

Selections:

NO SELECTION

Race Analysis:

 Cleeve Top 3 Rated:
1) Kenzai Warrior – 74
2) Berlin Tango – 72
3) King Carney – 67

Race analysis:
I think the favourite Juan Elcano has strong claims here, but I was interested in our second rated Berlin Tango, but he was too short in the market for me. No Bet.

2.25 Ascot 1m4f (1m3f211y) King George V Stakes (Handicap) (Class 2) (3yo 0-105)

Selections:

Convict 1 point each way at 8/1 generally (5 places)

Race Analysis:

Cleeve Top 4 Rated:
1) Convict – 171
2) King’s Caper – 144
3) Summeronsevenhills – 142
4) Oleksander – 141

Race analysis:
There are number of less exposed runners here, which could be anything and they all have the potential to improve – Bright Melody, Hukum, Kipps and Group One Power. All of these could well be contenders here, but I prefer something with a bit more experience.

Oleksander is another horse with a limited number of races and with the stable in superb form he is a challenger here at a decent price. He has only had three runs and disappointed on his seasonal debut, that may have been due to needing the run but there is not enough evidence to suggest he can win this.

Summeronsevenhills has had six runs and his two wins have come on all-weather surfaces and he remains winless on turf. He would need to improve on his seasonal debut run to challenge here, but he drops in class so could be more competitive.

King’s Caper drops in class and gets a pull of seven pounds with our selection for four lengths, but I do not think that will let him turn the tables. He is the most likely challenger to our selection and with Frankie Dettori booked is likely to be backed.

Convict has not had a run yet this season, but William Haggas runners have been performing well and this horse is progressive having won his two final runs last season. I expect him to be mid-division before making his move in the final furlong and hopefully, young Tom Marquand can find space to bring Convict through.

3.00 Ascot 1m2f (1m1f212y) Prince Of Wales's Stakes (Group 1) (British Champions Series) (Class 1) (4yo+)

Selections:

NO SELECTION

Race Analysis:

Cleeve Top 3 Rated:
1) Japan – 68
2) Addeybb – 65
3) Lord North – 63

Race analysis:
Our top two rated are likely to battle for the win here and Japan is probably the most likely winner at a short price. No Bet.

3.35 Ascot 1m (Str) Royal Hunt Cup (Heritage Handicap) (Class 2) (3yo+)

Selections:

Afaak 1 point each way at 14/1 Paddypower (7 places)

Race Analysis:

Cleeve Top 4 Rated:
1) Raising Sand – 197
2) Montatham – 192
3) Indeed – 171
4) Beatboxer – 169

Race analysis:
Beatboxer could be one of those held up and brought with a late run and I think from his low draw that could make things difficult. James Doyle is riding with confidence and if the gaps appear this John Gosden inmate could prove to be a challenger. He has been gelded as he had lost his way somewhat last season and that may sharpen him up.

Indeed, is likely to be held up just behind the pacesetters from low draws in the early stages. He drops in class here and will welcome any rain, which will greatly enhance his chances, but if the rain misses Ascot he could struggle.

Raising Sand has a decent record in big field handicaps but due to his success remains extremely high in the weights and that makes things tough. There are several others with better claims this year. He was third in this last year but is now five pounds higher and a year older.

Alrajaa is one of those horses that could be anything as the racecourse commentators say, but he would need to be a Group horse to win off top weight. He has won his last four races with three coming on the all-weather. This is much tougher, but he is talented; however, I expect his weight to defeat him here.

Montatham is coming into this race having won on his seasonal debut fairly comfortably and I ruled him out as his price is a bit shorter than I wanted. I do think this one has improvement to come and he is likely to tuck in behind the front rank and like all runners in these big fields needs some luck to find a gap. He should run into a place and is the biggest threat to our pick.

Last year’s winner Afaak runs again here and cannot be discounted at his likely odds with the excellent Cieren Fallon on board and he takes off a valuable three pounds. He has gone up in the weights, but the three pounds allowance brings him back to last year’s weight. Afaak seems to handle all types of going so rain will not worry him. Afaak was also second in this race two seasons ago and it seems to really suit his running style.

4.10 Ascot 5f Windsor Castle Stakes (Listed Race) (Class 1) (2yo)

Selections:

NO SELECTION

Race Analysis:

Cleeve Top 3 Rated:
1) Chief Little Hawk – 198
2) Victory Heights – 189
3) Mighty Gurkha – 188

Race analysis:
An impossible betting race with each of the entries only having had one run each. Chief Little Hawk is highly regarded but he may find the Wesley Ward Sunshine City too sharp if the ground dries out. No Bet.

4.40 Ascot 1m6f (1m6f34y) Copper Horse Handicap (Class 2) (4yo+ 0-105)

Selections:

Alright Sunshine 1 point each way at 12/1 Betvictor, Betfair and Paddypower (5 places)

Race Analysis:

Cleeve Top 3 Rated:
1) Ranch Hand – 150
2) Fujaira Prince – 145
3) Alright Sunshine – 132
4) Selino – 124

Race analysis:
Selino takes a couple of class jumps and that makes his task difficult here and with the stable a bit quiet now is probably best watched. He won as he pleased last time and could be anything, but until I see him perform at this level, I will leave him alone.

Fujaira Prince was one I thought would go to the very top, but he disappointed here last season in the Duke of Edinburgh Stakes. He now goes up in trip and although he has gone well first time out, I think he will place at best if seeing out the additional two furlongs.

Ranch Hand from the in-form Andrew Balding yard is a threat here and was last seen finishing mid-division in the Cesarewitch. He drops back to a trip more suited and if the rains come, I will like his chances even more, but he may need the run this time around.

Like all these races there are other threats, and these include Collide and Floating Artist, but both of those have a lot of weight to carry.

Alright Sunshine has won at the trip and can cope with any going plus he drops in class and I think he has an excellent chance here. His hold up style will mean he has to rely on a bit of luck in running, but with the distance of this race I am confident that gaps will appear as horses in front tire. Alright Sunshine has the excellent Daniel Tudhope on board, and I believe he should get more chances on better horses as he is an excellent judge of the pace of a race.