Cleeve members selections – Ascot Champion’s Day

Champions dayHi everyone,

A cracking days racing in store for us all with Champions Day at Ascot and there's plenty of action for us with selections in 4 races… and they're all live on Channel 4! Let's hope we can land some cheeky doubles and trebles to supercharge what is already a very profitable season!

Just to let everybody know that we officially start the National Hunt Season next weekend with Cheltenham's Showcase meeting. If you want to get the NH selections you need to sign up for NH season membership here. Please note that this page is only available to previous members and you will not find it on the site - it does say that it's closed but we have kept it open for you guys as a last chance to get on board.

On to business.......

Good luck,

The Cleeve team

Leave a Comment





12:45 Ascot – 2m class 1 Qipco British Champions Long Distance Cup (Group 2)

Selections:

Wicklow Brave 1 point e/w @ 11/1 with Boylesports and Stan James

Race Analysis:

Wicklow Brave stepped up from his Ebor second to finish third in the Group 1 Irish St Leger.
Beaten just a neck by Agent Murphy, yet he is 5/1 favourite and Wicklow Brave is 11/1 so it’s clear where the value is here. Wicklow Brave was finishing strongly in that race and the step up in trip to 2 miles should see further improvement for sure and allow him to reverse placings with Agent Murphy.

Ryan Moore rides and we know to our profit that when he teams  up with Willie Mullins in staying races it is best to follow them.Pallasator is a danger but he’s a very quirky character that could boil over going to the start and pull too hard early in this race. We do like Litigant and he is another who looks bound to stay the trip. He’s got a few pounds to find but it would’ surprise us if he goes close. But we will stick with inform Wicklow Brave to win this at double figure each way price.

13:20 Ascot - 6f class 1 Qipco British Champions Sprint Stakes (Group 1)

Selections:

Strathburn – 1 point e/w @ 10/1 with Bet365 and Betfair (4 places)

Race Analysis:

Strathburn is a big horse that appreciates some cut in ground as he proved when 2nd in the Sprint Cup at Haydock last time out. That day he was drawn away from where the race developed so did remarkably well to run down the leaders just failing to beat Twilight Son by a short head. The first three quickened clear of the field on similar ground to that they will encounter here. This stiffer course at Ascot is sure to suit him better than Twilight Son who is badly drawn to boot. Trainer Charlie Hills reports him in fantastic form and he has been supplement ted for this so connections are putting their money where their mouths are.

Favourite Muharrar would prefer faster ground and might be vulnerable on this ground after a break, not withstanding he is on paper best sprinter this year in UK. A mention as well for the Tin Man, he has to step up markedly but if he keeps improving the way he is there is every chance that he could. There is a classy crop of 3 year olds class this year and they can bag another Group 1 at expense of there elders

14:30 Ascot - 1m class 1 Queen Elizabeth II Stakes

Selections:

Kodi Bear –1 point e/w @ 8/1 general

Race Analysis:

Solow is very short for this race even if he is the one they all have to beat on the ratings, having won 8 races on the trot! But a key stat here is that 3 year olds have won six of the past seven runnings, however their standard bearer Gleneagles must be considered doubtful as the ground looks like it will definitely ride on the soft side of  good.

So we prefer to side with the in form and lightly raced Kodi Bear from Clive Cox’s stable who is in red hot form. He says Kodi Bear is the best he has trained and in receipt of 3lbs from Solow beat he can push him close. On a line through Gabrial who he beat at Goodwood last tim, he comes out a similar horse to Solow on his Sussex stakes win at the same course. Kodi Bear proved last time out he can handle proper soft ground and could well improve for the better ground here. Gerald Mosse has struck up a winning partnership with Kodi Bear and they can take some catching here.

15:05 Ascot - 1m 2f class 1 Qipco Champion Stakes (Group 1) (3yo plus)

Selections:

Found 2 points win @ 4/1 general

Race Analysis:

Everyone saw how unlucky Found was in the Arc at Longchamp when she was knocked sideways and then stopped in her run before finishing on the bridle. She was the top 2 year old filly last season and has not had a particularly busy season this year, so arrives here a pretty fresh filly. The form of her 2nd beaten only a length behind Golden Horn in the Irish Champion Stakes over the same trip is good enough to win here.
The drop back in trip to 10 furlongs looks ideal as connections had doubts regarding her stamina for the Arc…. She will love the cut in the ground and looks primed to run a massive race.

As a filly she gets a 3lb off Jack Hobbs and a massive 8lbs off the older horses. Jack Hobbs finished further behind Golden Horn at Epsom and looks very likely to be ‘Found’ out at this trip (get it!). So at the prices he offers no value at all, and his outside draw could well cause problems.