All in all a decent end to the month of August with a profit at York and Hint of a Tint taking the Irish Cambridgeshire last Sunday at 16/1.
Let's hope we can maintain that form as we open September's account tomorrow at Ascot and Haydock...
The Cleeve team
The curse of the non-runner strikes again with Battersea's withdrawal in the 14:35 at Haydock but we do have a replacement in Brian Ellison's Totalize.
Ellison loves a big race Haydock winner and has booked Danny Tudhope for the ride which is a positive. Totalize is lightly raced with just the 2 outings this term, a fine second to Seamour on his seasonal debut in here in May was followed by a disappointing effort in the Northumberland Plate a month later where he was never going with his normal zest.
Rested since then and knowing he goes well fresh we'll take an each way punt at double odds which look more than fair value. We know he gets the trip well, will like the underfoot conditions and is fresher than most.
1 point e/w Totalize @ 16/1 with Bet365
Haydock 14:35 - 1m 6f class 2 Betfred Mobile Old Borough Cup (Handicap) (3yo plus)
Although Battersea’s form figures this season do not look too inspiring at first glance, he has been running in the most competitive handicaps after showing he was very progressive last year, we feel he is coming back to his best and can go close in this.
He was drawn badly when quietly fancied at Goodwood last time and had to use some early pace to get a decent position which lit him up a bit then raced more prominently than usual. Bang there with a chance in the straight he found trouble in running in the last furlong and a half and was eased when it was clear his chance was gone.. saying that he was only beaten 5 length sand is now 5lbs better of with the winner Blue Wave so could be a few pounds in front of his mark today.
That race was run over today’s trip and he looked to get it well which you would expect being out of Galileo. He authoritatively won a very competitive Ascot handicap at the backend of last season(produced some good winners since), and he looked much the best horse in the race and was going away at the line, in fact Graham Lee did not even have to pick his whip up! Although that was on fast ground he shows plenty of knee and has previously run well on ground with a bit of cut.
A slight negative is that Roger Varian could be blowing hotter but Andrea Atzeni rides again, this flat track will suit, he is lightly raced this season so should progress again and he is well drawn in stall 8…. so there’s plenty to like!
Ascot 14:50 - 7f class 2 Fly London Southend Airport Handicap (Qualifier For The Balmoral Handicap) (3yo plus)
Winner of his last two starts Mr Win is progressing really well and has shown himself to be an admirably tough sort, and with a few of these already having had a long season we want him on our side, albeit we wouldn’t want to see any significant overnight rain.
The form of both his Newmarket wins are working out really well with both Farlow and Buckstay winning since. Given the style of those close victories the handicapper has only been able to raise him 10lbs and he remains on a winning mark. He looks very straightforward, he races prominently and finds plenty when asked and runs all the way to the line.. in fact he has not had to be put under maximum pressure yet.
He’s favourite but is not a bad price at 7/1 and the trip and ground are ideal as when he won at Newmarket the ground faster than ideal according to his trainer. He arrives here fresh off nice break of 4 weeks and is sure to have been targeted at this prize with £50k to winner, and he looks well drawn in stall 11.
Ascot 15:25 - 1m 4f class 2 Appletiser Handicap (Heritage Handicap)
We’re prepared to give Dissolution one more chance to return to the great form he showed in the spring when second to smart Time Test in the London Gold Cup at Newbury, which is plenty good enough to win this.
Following that he ran a solid race at Royal Ascot in the King George V Stakes behind Space Age when he probably had too much ground to make up on the winner, but he might well have been placed but for being blocked as he started to make good ground up the rails, he is a massive 19lbs better in with Dartmouth for less than a length that day.
He was below par at Newmarket on ground that might have been too fast and has been freshened up since. Clearly a talented horse, Stoute leaves off the visor he has raced in on 4 of his last 5 outings which is interesting as last time they were left off he won. He looks pretty well drawn in stall 5 and Pat Dobbs get the leg up with Ryan Moore out for the season.
At 14/1 there’s enough value to play to small stakes…
Haydock 15:45 - 6f class 1 Betfred Sprint Cup (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (3yo plus)
Adaay won over course and distance back in May and after having taken two Group 2’s on his last two outings now looks primed to step up to Group 1 class. Trainer William Haggas is on fine form and is confident this furlong shorter trip holds no fears…. especially with speedster’s like Tiggy Wiggy guaranteeing a fast gallop from the gate.
He has progressed all season, and beat good older yardsticks last time out in the 7 furlong Hungerford at Newbury where he settled well and travelled strongly before coming with a sustained challenge to win comprehensively. The ground that day was widely acknowledged to be good to soft rather than the official good.
Three year olds have a good record in this providing nearly half the winners in the last 11 years and he looks best option them although Belardo is a big price if he bounces back to top form over this trip. Paul Hanagan is the retained jockey for owner committed to Adaay ahead of the ultra consistent Waady and we are happy to follow his lead.