Cleeve member selections @ Longchamp – Sunday October 4th

George BowenHello everyone,

This post is being written before our Saturday selections have run, so let's hope they fund tomorrow's two selections! As expected Erupt is shortening with the advised price now available in only two places and he is as short as 20/1...

Two more for tomorrow...

Good luck!

The Cleeve team

Longchamp 14:10 - 1m 1f 207yds Class 1 Prix de lOpera Longines - Fillies Group 1 (3yo plus)

Selections:

We Are - 1 point ew @ 7/1 with BetVictor, Coral and Ladbrokes

Race Analysis:

We Are  won this race last year as 3 year old beating recent group 2 winner Ribbons, and she did it more easily than the official winning margin of neck indicates, she then finished off the season with a fine second to Treve which is also not too shabby!

She ran nice comeback a few weeks ago when 4th at Deauville behind Odeliz on very soft ground, this was a very creditable performance as she would only have been 80% and is much better on good ground.

That run will have put her straight for this, and there is little doubt that this race is her big season target. A high class filly with a good turn of foot, she needs to be ridden patiently  so the outside draw in 12 not a major negative. With Covert Love likely to set a strong pace from the off the way the race sets up should be ideal for closer like We Are, whose top class connections definitely know how to prepare one for Arc day.

Longchamp 15:40 - 4f 213yds Class 1 Qatar Prix de lAbbaye de Longchamp - Group 1 (2yo plus)

Selections:

Muthmir - 1 point ew @ 5/1 with Bet365 (paying 4 places)

Race Analysis:

Muthmir is very fast sprinter who should enjoy this fast track and the conditions which are similar to those he faced at Goodwood where he impressively won the group 2 King George stakes. The sticky ground at York where he finished 6 lengths behind Mecca’s Angel would have suited the winner much better than our selection and he can reverse that form here.

Drawn well in stall 6 he likes to get on with it which means he should avoid any traffic problems and this trip should suit, and with Willie Haggas’s string still in great form he should go close here.