Ratings musings – Sunday 23rd January

Hi everyone,

Having looked at the card at Lingfield for today there are some very small fields and there is nothing I feel worthy of having a strong opinion. I think top rated Dashel Drasher in the 3.00 has a decent chance but I am obviously not alone and he has been heavily backed overnight and at best priced 13/8 I will pass.

Well as I said yesterday sod's law did apply with none of the mentioned horses in the first post troubling the judge.
To add insult to injury I did go outside the top-rated in two of the races and the top-rated won both races.

The top-rated Garry Clermont I went for was held up and travelled well and I thought 2 out would be in the mix at the finish but was no match for the well-handicapped Unexpected Party giving the Skeltons the second winner of their treble on the day.

Empire of Steel was pulled up before 4 out and when asked by the stewards Sandy Thomson could offer no explanation for his performance. This was obviously not his true running so we will have to see how he runs next time out. The top-rated Royale Pagaille ground out the slow-motion finish to hold off Sam Brown.

Finally, I put up Killer Clown who was very disappointing and was struggling from a long way out and was ultimately pulled up.  Again the top-rated Phoenix Way went on to win. He was given a great ride by Kevin Brogan and the weight he was getting from Fanion D'Estruval told as he challenged over the last and pulled away on the run in to win a little cosily. Obviously, the drop back in trip worked a treat.

So all in all a disappointing day for myself but a very good day for the Ratings - that'll teach me!

Overall the Cleeve Class 2+ ratings performed very well. There was a total of 12 Class 2+ races giving 9 winners from the top 3 rated and 8 of those were top-rated or joint top rated.

All 4 top-rated at Haydock went onto win granted there were all short prices.
Notably, Tommys Oscar just keeps on winning and connections may have a tilt at the Champion Hurdle (he is entered at the moment) but I am not convinced he is up to winning a Champion Hurdle. He is the star of Ann Hamiltons yard and it's great to see smaller trainers like her having success. Her stats are quite impressive so far this season with a 43% win strike rate from just 23 runners and a 78% strike rate for win and place so keep an eye out for any of her runners in the future.

That's enough from me for now and I will be back with any thoughts on the next set of ratings.

The Ratings analyst