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Cleeve Racing tips weekly review – w/e 12th January

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Weekly Stats

Total Bets

Winners

Places

Win & Place SR

4

1

0

25%

Weekly P&L to £20 stakes

-£20

Month to date P&L to £20 stakes

-£208

Season to date P&L to £20 stakes

-£676

Highlight of the week

Frodon winning did his bit for us at Kempton. He ran his usual game race from the front. He did jump slightly to the left but won a little cosily from Keeper Hill. I think talk of the Gold Cup may be a step too far and would surely have a better chance in repeating his Ryanair win.

Low point of the week

Another frustrating weekend with two of our other three selections being advised 4 places and coming in 5th. That's 4 so far in the last two weeks which makes a significant dent in the monthly profit and loss.

Weekly Overview

Main members selections

Our first selection on Saturday was Frodon who had been treated for stomach ulcers since his last run, He was strong in the betting late on and more like his old self, though with Top Notch not on his game, he didn't have to run up to his very best to score cosily enough. He led but jumped slightly left and pressed on from the tenth, Bryony Frost shook him up on the straight and he kept on well after the last on the run in to win with a little in hand from Keeper Hill. There has been talk of him going for the Gold Cup but he'd surely have a more realistic chance in the Ryanair.

We put up Keen On who was a value play in his race. I thought he was undeniably disappointing and he didn't really run his race for some reason, losing his unbeaten record over hurdles in the process. James Bowen had him prominent but he wasn't fluent 4 out, faded after the next and was soon beaten. Not sure if there was something amiss as I expected a much better run than this.

Then we had our two 5th placed selections the first of which was Larkbarrow Lad who looks like his second wind operation hasn't done the trick and he laboured from a long way out. Admittedly we would have been lucky to get 4th with the front two falling at the last but sometimes you need a bit of luck in this game and at the moment we just aren't getting it.

Finally, we had Stoney Mountain who again came in 5th when we went 4 places. He was hampered at the second and wasn't at all fluent at the last but he was staying on well in the later stages so I won't be writing him off just yet.

We just can't seem to get our head in from at the moment but the results will come so we just have to keep patient.

Eye Catchers update

We had just one selection this week on the Eye Catchers service on Saturday in Erick Le Rouge. The price was smashed into 7/2 on Saturday due to a significant jockey change... originally the trainer's son; 5lb claimer Chester Williams was booked but they jocked up Lizzie Kelly on Saturday morning so connections obviously thought he had a big chance and the price went into freefall!

Things duly came to pass with him racing prominently and jumping well, taking it up between the last two and then only having to being ridden out on the run in. I think the drop in the trip was the key but the trainer Jane Williams was interviewed by the stewards and her explanation for his improved form compared to his last run at Ascot in November where he finished seventh of eight, was that he was better suited to being ridden on the pace.

Ante-post update

Our ante-post selection Harry Senior took a bizarre turn of events. We originally put him up at 7/1 and had 3 places. He was backed down to 11/4 joint-favourite and there were only 6 runners. But coming onto the course he spooked and unshipped Robbie Power then bolted down to the start where he was inspected by the course vet and found to have cut his hind leg and was withdrawn.

We backed him with Bet365 and got our stakes refunded but it was quite galling as we did everything right getting over double the odds and an extra place, and looking at the race result we feel that he was one that definitely got away as the other joint-favourite Shan Blue disappointed and the form doesn't look strong.

The Week Ahead

A  very quiet week with no qualifying races until Saturday but we will be back with any Eye Catchers and the Antepost on Wednesday.

Saturday
Ascot - 150, 225, 300, 335
Haydock - 130, 205, 240, 315
Taunton - 250, 325

Weekly Overview

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